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India oman trade deal

The Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) between India and Oman officially came into effect today, opening a new chapter in bilateral economic relations and providing expanded market access for Indian exporters.

Announcing the implementation of the agreement, Union Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal said the pact would help create new opportunities for students, artisans, women, farmers, fishermen, and micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) by expanding exports, attracting investment, and supporting job creation.

The agreement was signed in December last year during Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to Muscat.

Strategic Importance Amid Regional Tensions

The trade pact comes into force at a time when geopolitical tensions in West Asia continue to disrupt regional trade routes.

The ongoing conflict involving Iran has affected shipping movements through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route that handles around 20% of global daily oil consumption and approximately 25% of global seaborne oil trade.

Unlike several Gulf states whose shipping routes depend heavily on the Strait of Hormuz, Oman occupies a strategically advantageous position. Much of its coastline lies outside the strait, directly facing the Arabian Sea and the Gulf of Oman, allowing key ports to remain operational even during regional disruptions.

According to trade experts, major Omani ports such as Salalah and Duqm can continue functioning as important trade and energy gateways during periods of instability in the Gulf region.

Recent trade data highlights this advantage. While India’s imports from major Gulf economies fell sharply between April 2025 and April 2026, Oman emerged as an exception.

India’s imports from Oman increased by more than 246%, rising from approximately $430 million to nearly $1.5 billion, largely driven by purchases of crude oil and urea. During the same period, India’s exports to Oman declined by only 10.3%, outperforming trends seen elsewhere in the region.

Benefits for Indian Exporters

Under the agreement, Oman will provide zero-duty access on 98.08% of its tariff lines, covering 99.38% of India’s exports to the country.

This marks a significant expansion from the pre-CEPA framework, under which only about 15.3% of Indian exports enjoyed duty-free treatment.

The agreement offers full tariff elimination across several labour-intensive sectors, including:

  • Gems and jewellery
  • Textiles and apparel
  • Leather and footwear
  • Sports goods
  • Plastics
  • Furniture
  • Agricultural products
  • Engineering goods
  • Pharmaceuticals
  • Medical devices
  • Automobiles

India’s exports to Oman were valued at approximately $3.64 billion in FY2026. Major export items included refined petroleum products, naphtha, calcined alumina, iron and steel products, machinery, and rice.

Although many Indian products already entered Oman at relatively low tariff rates, some sectors faced duties as high as 100%. The removal of these tariffs is expected to improve the competitiveness of Indian goods in the Omani market.

However, analysts note that export growth may be moderated by Oman’s relatively small domestic market, with a population of around 5.5 million and a GDP of approximately $110 billion.

Benefits for Oman

In return, India has agreed to eliminate or reduce tariffs on around 78% of its tariff lines.

Oman’s primary gains are concentrated in sectors where it already has a strong presence in the Indian market, particularly energy, fertilisers, and industrial raw materials.

India imported goods worth approximately $7.2 billion from Oman during FY2026. Key imports included:

  • Crude oil
  • Liquefied natural gas (LNG)
  • Fertilisers
  • Methanol
  • Ammonia

These imports play an important role in supporting India’s energy security, agricultural sector, and industrial production.

Strengthening Economic Ties

The implementation of the CEPA is expected to deepen economic cooperation between the two countries while improving supply-chain resilience during periods of geopolitical uncertainty.

For India, the agreement not only expands export opportunities but also strengthens access to a strategically located partner capable of supporting trade and energy flows during disruptions in the Gulf region.

As global trade routes face increasing uncertainty, the India-Oman CEPA is expected to enhance bilateral trade, improve market access, and support long-term economic cooperation between the two nations.

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India - Israel

Prime Minister Narendra Modi landed in Israel on Wednesday for talks with his counterpart Benjamin Netanyahu aimed at reviewing the India–Israel Strategic Partnership and identifying new opportunities for cooperation across multiple sectors, including science and technology.

The visit holds diplomatic significance. In 2017, Modi became the first Indian prime minister to visit Israel, marking a visible elevation in bilateral ties. The current visit comes shortly after India joined more than 100 countries at the United Nations in criticising Israel’s actions in the West Bank. New Delhi signed a joint statement after initially refraining from participating in a collective condemnation of settlement expansion.

Diplomatic and Strategic Background

India and Israel established full diplomatic relations in 1992. Since then, ties have expanded steadily, particularly over the past decade, with growing engagement in defence, trade, agriculture, water management, and advanced technologies.

Defence cooperation remains the cornerstone of the strategic partnership. According to data from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), India accounted for over 38% of Israel’s arms exports between 2014 and 2024, making it one of Israel’s largest defence customers. Military hardware, surveillance systems, radar technologies, and precision-guided munitions form a key component of this engagement.

The partnership also aligns with India’s “Make in India” initiative, with Israeli defence and technology firms increasingly collaborating with Indian companies for local manufacturing and joint production.

Trade Trends and Economic Links

Bilateral trade between India and Israel has seen notable fluctuations in recent years. From approximately $200 million in 1992, trade volumes expanded significantly over three decades, peaking at over $10.7 billion in 2022–23.

However, trade declined to $6.5 billion in 2023–24 and further to $3.6 billion in 2024–25. The contraction has been attributed to war-related disruptions and challenges in trade routes.

Despite the recent slowdown, India has maintained a trade surplus with Israel since 2014–15. The surplus widened sharply to $6.1 billion in 2022–23 before narrowing to $2.5 billion in 2023–24 and further to $663 million in 2024–25.

Refined petroleum products such as petrol and diesel accounted for nearly 44% of India’s exports to Israel between 2019 and 2025, followed by diamonds at around 22%. The diamond trade remains structurally significant for both countries. India imports raw diamonds from Israel, cuts and polishes them domestically, and exports processed diamonds back to global markets.

On the import side, diamonds account for roughly one-third of India’s imports from Israel. Other key imports include mineral and chemical fertilisers, electronic integrated circuits, and radar apparatus.

Investment flows have also grown. Israel’s cumulative foreign direct investment (FDI) into India crossed $347 million between 2000 and September 2025, according to official data. Israeli firms have made more than 300 investments in India, primarily in the technology sector. Meanwhile, cumulative overseas direct investment (ODI) from India into Israel reached $443 million between April 2000 and April 2025, with Indian companies investing in cybersecurity, agriculture, water management, and electric mobility ventures.

Labour Mobility and Education

Migration and labour mobility form another important dimension of the relationship. As of 2024, approximately 32,715 Indians travelled to Israel, compared to around 27,196 in 2023.

Employment-driven migration has increased, particularly following the outbreak of the Gaza conflict. Official figures show that around 32,000 Indian workers were present in Israel as of October 2024, many recruited to fill labour shortages in the construction sector after Palestinian workers were displaced. These workers are primarily employed in construction-related roles.

In addition to labour migration, educational exchanges continue. Around 900 Indian students are currently studying in Israeli institutions, contributing to academic and research collaboration between the two countries.

Diplomatic Context

The timing of Modi’s visit is notable given recent developments at the United Nations concerning Israel’s policies in the West Bank. India’s decision to align with a joint statement criticising settlement expansion reflects a calibrated diplomatic approach balancing strategic partnership with Israel and broader multilateral commitments.

The discussions between the two leaders are expected to review progress in existing cooperation frameworks while exploring expanded engagement in emerging sectors such as artificial intelligence, innovation, and advanced manufacturing.

As India and Israel approach over three decades of formal diplomatic relations, the strategic partnership continues to evolve amid regional geopolitical shifts, trade realignments, and technological transformation.

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India Economy

India’s Services Sector Hits Record Growth in August

India’s services sector witnessed its sharpest expansion in 15 years during August 2025, marking a remarkable phase of economic momentum. The HSBC India Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), compiled by S&P Global, surged to 62.9 from 60.5 in July. While slightly lower than the preliminary estimate of 65.6, this reading firmly signals robust growth, far above the neutral 50.0 threshold.

Drivers of Growth: New Orders and Global Demand

The surge was largely fueled by a sharp rise in new business. Domestic demand remained strong, while international demand also picked up, with export orders climbing at the fastest pace in 14 months. This dual boost reflected India’s strengthening position in global services markets, with IT, finance, and consulting sectors leading the momentum.

Inflation Concerns Resurface

However, rapid expansion brought with it renewed price pressures. Input costs rose at the steepest pace in nine months, while service providers passed these costs on to consumers at the fastest rate since July 2012. Output price inflation has reached worrying levels, raising concerns that India’s broader inflation, which hit an eight-year low of 1.55% in July, may now reverse course.

Business Confidence on the Rise

Despite inflation challenges, optimism among service firms improved to a three-month high. Companies expressed confidence in future demand, supported by expansion plans, advertising investments, and expectations of sustained client activity. Still, hiring growth remained modest, suggesting that businesses are cautious about expanding their workforce amid rising cost pressures.

Composite PMI Highlights Broad-Based Growth

The economic surge was not limited to services alone. The Composite PMI, which accounts for both manufacturing and services activity, rose to 63.2 in August — its highest in 17 years. This indicates that India’s economic momentum is well-rounded, supported by both domestic consumption and international business opportunities.

External Risks to Watch

Amid this optimism, external risks loom large. The U.S. government’s recently imposed 50% tariff on Indian goods could dampen future growth prospects, particularly if trade tensions escalate. Balancing domestic demand with global headwinds will be critical for sustaining momentum in the coming quarters.

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