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Parliament Winter Session 2025

Parliament’s Winter Session of 2025 concluded abruptly on December 19, with both the Lok Sabha and the Rajya Sabha adjourned sine die shortly after resuming for the day. The closing moments mirrored the overall tone of the session—intense, confrontational, and dominated by political disagreement, particularly over the newly passed Viksit Bharat Guarantee for Rozgar and Ajeevika Mission (Gramin) Bill, or VB-G RAM G Bill.

What was expected to be a routine final sitting instead unfolded as a continuation of the unrest that had marked the previous day. Protests by Opposition members, which had extended overnight within the Parliament complex, set the backdrop for a session that ended without further legislative business.

Protests Spill Over Into the Final Day

Opposition parties remained firm in their opposition to the VB-G RAM G Bill, which replaces the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA), a programme that has been in place for nearly two decades. The Bill’s passage earlier triggered strong reactions, with Opposition leaders accusing the government of pushing through a major policy change without sufficient consultation or scrutiny.

By the final morning, tensions had not eased. Opposition members reiterated their objections and announced plans to carry their protest beyond Parliament, signalling nationwide demonstrations. They argued that the new law weakens rural employment protections and dismantles an existing social safety net.

Rajya Sabha Session Formally Concluded

In the Rajya Sabha, Vice-President and Chairman C. P. Radhakrishnan formally brought the 269th session to a close. In his concluding remarks, he described the session as productive overall, citing improved participation during Question Hour and Zero Hour.

At the same time, he expressed strong disapproval of the conduct witnessed during the previous day’s proceedings. Referring to scenes where members protested during a minister’s reply and tore documents, he said such actions were not in keeping with the dignity of the House. The Rajya Sabha adjourned sine die with the customary playing of Vande Mataram.

Lok Sabha Adjourned Amid Continuing Protests

Soon after, Speaker Om Birla adjourned the Lok Sabha sine die as protests continued within the House. Prime Minister Narendra Modi was present during the adjournment, which effectively ended the Winter Session on a tense and unresolved note.

The scenes in the Lok Sabha reflected the sharp divide between the government and the Opposition, with the VB-G RAM G Bill remaining the central point of contention even after its passage.

Productivity Figures Despite Disruptions

Despite the political turbulence, parliamentary authorities highlighted strong productivity during the session. The Rajya Sabha recorded productivity of 121 per cent, while the Lok Sabha achieved 111 per cent. Several government Bills were introduced and passed, indicating that legislative business continued at a steady pace for much of the session.

However, the final days underscored how political disagreements can overshadow legislative achievements, particularly when major policy shifts are involved.

Political Reactions Continue After Adjournment

Reactions to the VB-G RAM G Bill remained sharp even after Parliament adjourned. Opposition leaders described the legislation as detrimental to rural workers and accused the government of undermining employment security. Some warned that public resistance could intensify and suggested that sustained pressure might force a reconsideration of the law, drawing parallels with past policy reversals.

The government, meanwhile, has maintained that the new law represents a modernised approach to rural employment, aligned with long-term development goals. These opposing narratives are expected to dominate political discourse in the coming weeks.

An Attempt to Restore Dialogue

Following the adjournment, Speaker Om Birla met leaders of various political parties in his chamber. Such meetings are a customary post-session practice, aimed at easing tensions and reopening channels of dialogue after contentious sittings.

Whether this engagement will translate into consensus remains uncertain, as the debate over rural employment reform now moves beyond Parliament and into the public domain.

A Session That Sets the Tone Ahead

As Parliament rose, the Winter Session of 2025 came to be defined by a mix of high legislative output and deep political division. The passage of the VB-G RAM G Bill ensured that the session will be remembered not just for the number of laws passed, but for the intensity of the debate surrounding one of them.

With protests expected to continue outside the House, the issues raised during the session are likely to shape political discussions well beyond the winter recess.

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Parliament Winter Session day 14

The Lok Sabha on December 18, 2025, passed the Viksit Bharat Guarantee for Rozgar and Ajeevika Mission (Gramin), known as the VB-G RAM G Bill, bringing a significant change to India’s rural employment framework. The legislation seeks to replace the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA), which has been in place for nearly two decades, with a new programme guaranteeing 125 days of employment each year.

The Bill was passed through a voice vote amid protests by Opposition members, who raised slogans and expressed objections during the proceedings. Despite the disruptions, the government maintained that the legislation represents a necessary update to align rural employment policy with current development priorities.

Government’s Rationale for Replacing MGNREGA

Responding to a lengthy debate that stretched over eight hours, Rural Development Minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan defended the decision to replace MGNREGA. He argued that while the earlier scheme played an important role in providing income support, it had limitations that needed to be addressed.

According to the Minister, large public expenditures—estimated at ₹10–11 lakh crore over the years—had primarily gone toward wage payments. He stated that the new approach aims to balance employment generation with the creation of durable assets that contribute to long-term rural development. The emphasis, he said, should be on building “fully developed villages” rather than focusing only on short-term employment relief.

Focus Areas Under the New Programme

The VB-G RAM G Bill outlines a broader scope of work compared to its predecessor. The government has said the programme will prioritise projects related to water security, including the construction of lakes, water bodies, and micro-irrigation channels. These initiatives are intended to address chronic water shortages and improve agricultural resilience.

In addition, the scheme will support the development of core rural and livelihood infrastructure, such as access roads and facilities linked to local economic activity. Special provisions have also been included for works aimed at reducing the impact of extreme weather events, reflecting growing concerns around climate variability in rural areas.

All assets created under the programme will be digitally mapped and integrated into the proposed Viksit Bharat National Rural Infrastructure Stack. The government has described this as a way to improve transparency, planning, and coordination across rural development initiatives.

Opposition Objections and Demand for Scrutiny

At the start of the sitting, Congress MP K.C. Venugopal requested that the Bill be referred to a parliamentary committee for detailed examination. He argued that a policy shift of this scale required deeper scrutiny and wider consultation.

Speaker Om Birla declined the request, noting that 98 members from across party lines had already participated in the debate, which extended past midnight the previous day. He said the House had given sufficient time for discussion and that the legislative process had been followed.

As the debate progressed, Opposition members continued to protest, with some entering the well of the House and tearing copies of the Bill. The disruptions underscored the political sensitivity surrounding changes to a flagship rural employment programme.

Sharp Political Exchanges in the House

During his reply, Mr. Chouhan strongly criticised the Congress, accusing it of selectively invoking Mahatma Gandhi’s legacy while failing to uphold Gandhian values in practice. He said that refusing to engage with differing viewpoints also went against the principles associated with Gandhi.

The Minister argued that the current government’s welfare initiatives reflected those ideals more effectively. He cited schemes such as PM Awas Yojana, Ujjwala Yojana, Swachh Bharat Mission, and Ayushman Bharat as examples of policies aimed at improving dignity and quality of life for the poor.

He also pointed out that the rural employment scheme was initially launched as NREGA and that Mahatma Gandhi’s name was added later, ahead of the 2009 general elections. This, he suggested, was a political decision rather than a reflection of the programme’s core philosophy.

Linking the Bill to Long-Term Development Goals

Mr. Chouhan stated that the VB-G RAM G Bill should be viewed as part of a larger statutory framework aligned with the government’s vision of Viksit Bharat 2047. He maintained that the new programme is designed to modernise rural employment by integrating it with infrastructure development, climate adaptation, and digital governance.

The Minister also credited Prime Minister Narendra Modi with ensuring the effective implementation of MGNREGA during his tenure, countering Opposition claims that the new Bill undermines earlier welfare efforts. According to him, the proposed law builds on past experience while updating the structure to meet future needs.

What the Passage of the Bill Signals

The passage of the VB-G RAM G Bill marks a turning point in how rural employment is structured in India. Supporters see it as an attempt to move beyond wage support toward asset creation and village-level development. Critics, however, remain concerned about implementation, safeguards, and whether the new framework will provide the same level of employment security as MGNREGA.

With the Bill now cleared by the Lok Sabha, attention will shift to how the programme is rolled out on the ground and how effectively it balances employment generation with long-term rural infrastructure goals.

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Parliament Winter Session 2025 Day 5

Day 5 of the Winter Session of Parliament unfolded as a blend of legislative progress and persistent political friction. The Lok Sabha approved the Health Security and National Security Cess Bill 2025, a major fiscal move aimed at restructuring taxes on demerit goods such as pan masala. The Bill replaces the soon-to-end GST compensation cess with a new framework that the government says will channel revenue into public health and national security initiatives.

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, piloting the Bill, assured MPs that the new cess would not extend to essential goods. The intention, she said, is to ensure a sustainable revenue stream for health-related programmes and national preparedness without burdening everyday consumers.

Protests and Walkouts Shadow the Legislation

While the government pushed ahead with its tax reforms agenda, the day was punctuated by intense disruptions. DMK MPs staged vocal protests over a controversy involving a lamp-lighting ceremony at a Tamil Nadu temple, leading to repeated adjournments.

Opposition members also used the opportunity to raise a wide spectrum of concerns, including the continuing slide of the rupee, crop damage from erratic rainfall in Gujarat, and demands to update school textbooks by removing colonial labels such as “Lord” for British officials.

Zero Hour became a flashpoint for these grievances, with MPs seeking government intervention on everything from economic pressures to cultural and historical representation.

Rajya Sabha Turns Its Lens on IndiGo’s Flight Cancellations

In the Upper House, the spotlight shifted to India’s aviation sector. Opposition MPs strongly criticised IndiGo following the sudden cancellation of more than 500 flights, calling it the predictable outcome of an unchallenged “monopoly model” in Indian aviation.

The government assured the House that the Civil Aviation Ministry is reviewing the situation, with further updates expected. Alongside this, the Rajya Sabha adopted a motion to elect a new member to the Rubber Board, even as it navigated DMK notices seeking discussions on communal tensions allegedly rising in Tamil Nadu.

Growing Social and Governance Concerns Surface

MPs across party lines took the opportunity to voice concerns over emerging social issues—particularly around safeguarding children from excessive exposure on social media platforms. Calls for stronger regulation, clearer guidelines, and parental awareness dominated parts of the discussions.

Environmental concerns resurfaced too, with renewed demands for targeted action against deteriorating air quality in major Indian cities. Meanwhile, members from agrarian regions highlighted the need for timely compensation for farmers hit hard by unseasonal rains, urging expedited relief measures.

A Day That Captured the Pulse of Parliament

Despite the disruptions, the legislative agenda moved forward, underscoring the government’s focus on tax restructuring, especially reforms around “sin taxes.” At the same time, the opposition deployed a multi-pronged strategy, using every parliamentary tool available – Zero Hour, procedural notices, interventions—to amplify public grievances, critique policy choices, and demand accountability.

The result was a familiar yet telling portrait of Indian parliamentary life: legislation advancing on one side, and vigorous, often turbulent, democratic scrutiny on the other.

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The first winter session of the 18th Lok Sabha concluded on December 20, leaving a contentious legacy as one of the least productive and most acrimonious sessions in recent history. Marked by bitter exchanges, unfulfilled legislative goals, and protests from both the government and the Opposition, the session underscored a pressing need for the restoration of parliamentary norms and constructive dialogue.

A Session Marred by Conflict

The discord reached a crescendo on the penultimate day, culminating in a physical scuffle between members of Parliament, followed by bizarre allegations and police complaints. The Opposition’s motion of no confidence against Rajya Sabha Chairman and Vice-President of India, Jagdeep Dhankhar, was rejected by the Deputy Chairman, intensifying the political friction.

Adding fuel to the fire, Home Minister Amit Shah’s reference to Dr. B.R. Ambedkar became a flashpoint. The Opposition accused the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) of misinterpreting Ambedkar’s legacy, weaponizing Shah’s remarks to launch a scathing critique. This acrimony mirrored earlier weeks when the BJP disrupted proceedings by alleging the Congress party’s connections with anti-India elements abroad.

Dismal Productivity and Legislative Stalemate

The session’s productivity painted a grim picture. The Rajya Sabha functioned for only 40% of its scheduled time, clocking just 43 hours and 27 minutes. The Lok Sabha fared marginally better at 54.5% productivity. Both Houses were frequently disrupted over issues such as U.S. billionaire George Soros’s alleged meddling in Indian politics and concerns about the Adani Group.

Out of the 16 legislative bills planned, only one—the Bharatiya Vayuyan Vidheyak, 2024, crucial for the civil aviation sector—was successfully passed by both Houses. The Rajya Sabha also approved the Boilers Bill and the Oilfields (Regulation and Development) Amendment Bill, bringing essential changes to industrial laws concerning large furnaces, boilers, and the petroleum sector.

The Lok Sabha passed several bills, including:

  • Banking Laws (Amendment) Bill: Addressing the need to safeguard the public sector banking system.
  • Railways (Amendment) Bill: Focusing on the safety of passengers and railway employees.
  • Disaster Management (Amendment) Bill: Advocating for greater transparency in fund allocation for states affected by natural disasters.

Two significant constitutional amendments—the Constitution (One Hundred and Twenty-Ninth Amendment) Bill and the Union Territories Laws (Amendment) Bill—were introduced and referred to a Joint Parliamentary Committee. These aim to facilitate simultaneous elections across the country, a critical element in India’s evolving electoral landscape.

India-China Relations Take Center Stage

Amidst the legislative impasse, External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar briefed both Houses on the status of India-China relations. His statements highlighted the government’s diplomatic stance and ongoing efforts to safeguard national interests, a rare moment of focus in an otherwise fractious session.

A Call for Parliamentary Decorum

The winter session starkly demonstrated the erosion of decorum and dialogue in parliamentary proceedings. The heated exchanges and lack of productive debates underscore an urgent need for political leaders to prioritize the nation’s interests over partisan gains. The onus lies on all stakeholders to revive the spirit of constructive discourse and ensure that Parliament functions as a forum for addressing the aspirations of India’s citizens.

As India grapples with pressing economic, social, and geopolitical challenges, the efficiency and integrity of its legislative processes cannot be overstated. The events of this winter session should serve as a clarion call for introspection and reform.

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In a move that could redefine India’s democratic landscape, the government is set to introduce two pivotal bills in the Lok Sabha on Monday, December 16. The proposed legislations—The Constitution (129th Amendment) Bill and The Union Territories Laws (Amendment) Bill—are key steps toward implementing the ambitious “One Nation, One Election” policy. These bills mark a major leap toward synchronizing the Lok Sabha and state legislative assembly elections.

What Are the Bills About?

The cornerstone of this initiative is The Constitution (129th Amendment) Bill, which aims to amend constitutional provisions to facilitate simultaneous elections for the Lok Sabha and state assemblies. This would eliminate the need for staggered polls and streamline the electoral process across the nation. Complementing this is The Union Territories Laws (Amendment) Bill, designed to align laws concerning Union territories with legislative assemblies to the overarching framework proposed by the constitutional amendment.

A Cabinet-Approved Vision

The Union Cabinet, led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, gave its nod to these draft legislations on Thursday. This approval reinforces the BJP’s commitment to its long-standing “One Nation, One Election” vision, which aims to enhance administrative efficiency and reduce election-related costs.

Notably, the high-level committee chaired by former President Ram Nath Kovind had earlier suggested that simultaneous elections could also encompass local bodies such as municipalities and panchayats. However, the Cabinet has decided not to include these elections in the current framework, choosing instead to focus on aligning national and state-level elections.

A Step Toward Electoral Uniformity

If enacted, these bills would mark a watershed moment in India’s democratic journey, as the concept of simultaneous polls seeks to harmonize the electoral calendar. The proposed model has the potential to reduce the frequency of elections, thereby allowing governments to focus more on governance.

This landmark legislation reflects the government’s commitment to exploring transformative reforms that could redefine how the world’s largest democracy conducts its elections.

Stay tuned as these monumental bills are tabled in Parliament, paving the way for a robust debate on the future of India’s electoral system.

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In a significant moment of unity, Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Congress leader Rahul Gandhi, who is set to assume the role of Leader of the Opposition, shook hands today in the Parliament as they together welcomed the newly re-elected Lok Sabha Speaker, Om Birla. This gesture marked a fresh chapter in the 18th Lok Sabha.

The Election of Om Birla

The election results were declared by Pro-tem Speaker Bhartruhari Mahtab after the Opposition, which had put forward Congress MP K Suresh as its candidate, chose not to push for a vote on the motion. This led to a smooth re-election for Om Birla, who will now serve as the Lok Sabha Speaker for a second term.

Following the announcement, Prime Minister Modi, accompanied by Parliamentary Affairs Minister Kiren Rijiju and Rahul Gandhi, approached Om Birla’s seat in the front row of the treasury benches to escort him to the Speaker’s chair.

Congratulatory Messages

In his congratulatory message, Prime Minister Modi expressed his confidence in Birla’s leadership, saying, “It is a matter of honour that you have been elected to this chair for the second time. I congratulate you on behalf of the entire House and look forward to your guidance for the next five years. Your sweet smile keeps the entire House happy.”

Rahul Gandhi, representing the Opposition and the INDIA alliance, also extended his congratulations, emphasizing the importance of the Speaker’s role in parliamentary democracy. “You are the final arbiter of people’s voice. The government may have political power, but the Opposition also represents the voice of the people. The Opposition would like to assist you in your work, and I am confident you will allow us to speak in the House,” Gandhi said.

The Role of the Leader of the Opposition

The role of the Leader of the Opposition in India dates back to 1969 when Ram Suhag Singh first held the post. Since then, it has evolved to become a cornerstone of parliamentary democracy. The Leader of the Opposition plays a key part in the appointment of key officials such as the Chief Election Commissioner (CEC), the Central Vigilance Commissioner (CVC), and members of the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI), the National Human Rights Commission (NHRC), and the Lokayukta. This role ensures a check and balance within the government, holding it accountable to the public.

A New Chapter in Parliamentary Democracy

As the 18th Lok Sabha begins its journey, the collaborative spirit shown by Prime Minister Modi and Rahul Gandhi in welcoming Speaker Om Birla signifies a hopeful start. Their handshake and mutual respect underscore the potential for constructive dialogue and cooperation, crucial for addressing the nation’s challenges and advancing its democratic processes. The coming years will test this unity and the effectiveness of the new leadership roles, shaping the future of India’s parliamentary democracy.

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Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh – A voter turnout of 12.89% was recorded by 9 AM in Uttar Pradesh as polling commenced for the fifth phase of the Lok Sabha elections, covering 14 constituencies. The voting process, which began at 7 AM, will continue until 6 PM.

Constituency Turnouts

The Election Commission reported varying voter turnouts across the constituencies by 9 AM:

  • Amethi: 13.45%
  • Banda: 14.57%
  • Barabanki: 12.73%
  • Faizabad: 14%
  • Fatehpur: 14.28%
  • Gonda: 9.55%
  • Hamirpur: 13.61%
  • Jalaun: 12.80%
  • Kaisarganj: 13.04%
  • Kaushambi: 10.49%
  • Lucknow: 10.39%
  • Mohanlalganj: 13.86%
  • Rae Bareli: 13.60%

In the Lucknow East assembly bypoll, the voter turnout stood at 10.88% by 9 AM.

High-Profile Contenders

Among the notable candidates in this phase are Defence Minister Rajnath Singh, Women and Child Development Minister Smriti Irani, Minister of State for Housing and Urban Affairs Kaushal Kishor, Minister of State for Consumer Affairs Sadhvi Niranjan Jyoti, and Minister of State for MSME Bhanu Pratap Singh Verma. Congress leader Rahul Gandhi is contesting from Rae Bareli, a constituency previously represented by his mother and former party president Sonia Gandhi.

Voter Demographics and Candidates

Over 2.71 crore voters are eligible to participate in this phase, with 144 candidates contesting across the 14 constituencies. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has fielded 11 of its sitting MPs, with new candidates in Barabanki and Kaisarganj.

From the INDIA bloc, the Congress has nominated K L Sharma in Amethi, Tanuj Punia in Barabanki, and Pradeep Jain ‘Aditya’ in Jhansi. The Samajwadi Party (SP) candidates are contesting in the remaining seats.

Key Contests

  • Lucknow: Defence Minister Rajnath Singh is aiming for a fourth term, facing SP’s Ravidas Mehrotra.
  • Amethi: Union Minister Smriti Irani is contesting against Congress’s K L Sharma.
  • Kaisarganj: BJP’s Karan Bhushan Singh is up against SP’s Bhagat Ram.
  • Faizabad: BJP’s Lallu Singh, seeking a third term, is pitted against SP’s Awadhesh Prasad.
  • Hamirpur: BJP’s Kunwar Pushpendra Singh Chandel is contesting for a third term against SP’s Ajendra Singh Lodhi.
  • Gonda: BJP’s Kirti Vardhan Singh is eyeing a fifth term, facing SP’s Shreya Verma.
  • Banda: R K Singh Patel (BJP) is seeking a third term against Krishna Devi Shivshankar Patel (SP).
  • Kaushambi: BJP’s Vinod Kumar Sonkar is aiming for a hat-trick of wins against SP’s Pushpendra Saroj.
  • Jalaun: Bhanu Pratap Singh Verma (BJP) is contesting for a sixth term against SP’s Narayan Das Ahirwar.

Polling Context

The fifth phase of polling is crucial as it encompasses several key constituencies with high-profile candidates. The results from these regions will be pivotal in determining the overall outcome of the Lok Sabha elections. With a significant voter turnout in the early hours, the enthusiasm among the electorate is evident.

Conclusion

As polling continues throughout the day, the focus remains on ensuring a smooth and fair voting process. The stakes are high for all parties involved, with prominent leaders and new contenders vying for the electorate’s support. The outcomes of these contests will shape the political landscape of Uttar Pradesh and, by extension, the nation.

Stay tuned for further updates as the day progresses and more detailed turnout figures and polling outcomes become available.

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As the Lok Sabha Elections 2024 progress, the nation gears up for the third phase of polling scheduled for Tuesday, May 7. Across 11 states and union territories, 93 Lok Sabha constituencies are poised for electoral action, with a total of 1,351 candidates vying for victory, as announced by the Elections Commission of India.

While the original count was slated at 94 constituencies across 12 states and Union Territories, the BJP has already secured the Surat seat in Gujarat uncontested. Additionally, the voting for the Anantnag-Rajouri seat in Jammu and Kashmir has been postponed to May 25. Conversely, Betul in Madhya Pradesh, initially planned for the second phase on April 26, will now witness polling during the third phase on May 7.

Among the highlights of the third phase are the full spectrum of Gujarat’s 25 Lok Sabha seats, alongside crucial constituencies in other states:

  • Assam: Voting in 4 out of 14 seats, including Kokrajhar, Dhubri, Barpeta, and Guwahati.
  • Bihar: 5 seats out of 40, encompassing Jhanjharpur, Supaul, Araria, Madhepura, and Khagaria.
  • Chhattisgarh: 7 out of 11 seats, spanning Surguja, Janjgir-Champa, Korba, Bilaspur, Durg, Raipur, and Raigarh.
  • Dadra & Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu: All 2 seats.
  • Goa: Both seats, including North Goa and South Goa.
  • Karnataka: 14 out of 28 seats, covering constituencies such as Chikkodi, Belgaum, Bagalkot, and Shimoga.
  • Madhya Pradesh: 9 out of 29 seats, including Morena, Gwalior, Bhopal, and Betul.
  • Maharashtra: 11 out of 48 seats, featuring Solapur, Raigad, Baramati, Latur, Satara, and Kolhapur.
  • Uttar Pradesh: 10 out of 80 seats, encompassing regions like Agra, Firozabad, Mainpuri, and Bareilly.
  • West Bengal: 4 out of 42 seats, including Maldaha Uttar, Maldaha Dakshin, Jangipur, and Murshidabad.

With each phase marking a significant step towards the culmination of the electoral process, voters are urged to exercise their democratic right responsibly. The Lok Sabha Elections 2024, spanning seven phases, are set to declare results on June 4, shaping the future trajectory of the nation’s governance.

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In a bold prediction that reverberates across India’s political landscape, esteemed economist and political analyst Surjit Bhalla foresees a resounding victory for the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the ongoing 2024 Lok Sabha election. Bhalla, renowned for his insightful analysis, anticipates that the BJP could clinch an impressive tally of 330 to 350 seats, surpassing its remarkable performance in the 2019 polls.

In an exclusive interview with NDTV, Bhalla, whose latest book ‘How We Vote’ delves into the intricacies of voter behavior, outlined his projections for the current general elections. He emphasized Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s enduring popularity and asserted that the BJP’s potential triumph would be a testament to its widespread appeal among the electorate.

“Basing my analysis on statistical probability, I anticipate the BJP securing 330 to 350 seats independently, excluding its alliance partners,” remarked Bhalla during the interview. He further underscored that the BJP is poised to witness a notable surge in seat acquisition, with a projected increase of five to seven percent compared to its 2019 electoral performance.

While acknowledging the possibility of a “wave election,” Bhalla cautioned against presumptions and highlighted the dynamic nature of electoral outcomes.

Opposition’s Prospects and BJP’s Southern Ascent

In contrast to the BJP’s anticipated electoral triumph, Bhalla offered a sobering assessment of the opposition’s prospects. He suggested that the Congress, the primary opposition party, may secure approximately 44 seats, reflecting a marginal decline from its performance in the 2014 elections. Bhalla attributed this prognosis to perceived leadership deficits within the opposition ranks and emphasized the pivotal role of economic factors in shaping voter preferences.

Remarkably, Bhalla also forecasted significant gains for the BJP in traditionally challenging regions like Tamil Nadu and Kerala. He suggested that the BJP could secure five or more seats in Tamil Nadu, signaling a potential breakthrough in a state where the party has historically faced hurdles.

Prime Minister Modi’s Optimism and Vision

Bhalla’s insights coincide with Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s optimistic outlook on the BJP’s electoral prospects, particularly in southern states. Modi expressed confidence in the BJP’s expanding footprint in regions like Telangana and underscored the party’s commitment to bolstering its presence across diverse constituencies.

As the Lok Sabha election unfolds, the clash of political ideologies and visions intensifies, with the BJP aiming to consolidate its mandate and the opposition striving to reclaim lost ground. Against this backdrop, Bhalla’s projections offer valuable insights into the evolving dynamics of Indian politics and the trajectory of the ongoing electoral contest.

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India witnessed a significant voter turnout of around 60.03% as millions of citizens cast their votes in the first phase of the Lok Sabha Elections 2024. The election, spanning 102 seats across 21 states and Union Territories, kicked off amid reports of sporadic violence in Manipur and West Bengal.

Sporadic Violence Mars Polling Process

In the state of Bengal, clashes erupted between workers of the Trinamool Congress and the BJP in Cooch Behar. Additionally, reports of gunfire surfaced from a polling station in Manipur, while a polling station was vandalized in Imphal. These incidents raised concerns about the smooth conduct of the electoral process.

Efforts to Ensure Smooth Conduct

The Election Commission, responsible for overseeing the seven-phase election spread over 43 days, assured citizens of its commitment to ensuring a transparent and inclusive electoral process. Despite the sporadic incidents of violence, the Commission remains determined to facilitate a smooth voting experience in the subsequent phases.

High Turnout in Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh

Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh, which also held assembly elections alongside the Lok Sabha polls, reported turnout percentages of 68% and 68.3%, respectively. However, these figures marked a decline compared to the 2019 elections, signaling a potential shift in voter sentiment.

Variation in Voter Turnout Across States

Tamil Nadu, conducting a single-day election, witnessed a turnout of 62.3%, down from 72.4% in the previous election. Similarly, Rajasthan reported a turnout of 50.9%, lower than the 64% recorded previously. In contrast, Uttar Pradesh recorded 57.6% voting, while Madhya Pradesh saw 63.3% turnout.

Political Dynamics and Projections

In Bengal, where the BJP aims to narrow the gap with the Trinamool Congress, a high voter turnout of 77.57% was reported. The BJP-dominated northeastern states also saw substantial turnout, with Assam recording 71.3%, Meghalaya 70.2%, Manipur 68.6%, Arunachal Pradesh 65.4%, and Tripura an impressive 79.9%.

Expectations and Projections

The BJP, confident in Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s popularity, aims for a strong performance, especially in the southern states and Bengal. Conversely, the Congress projects optimism about its performance in northern states, including Uttar Pradesh and Bihar, emphasizing its potential for a comeback.

Counting of Votes and Future Outlook

The counting of votes is scheduled for June 4, where the fate of political parties and candidates will be revealed. With the elections set to unfold over multiple phases, the political landscape of India is poised for significant shifts, reflecting the diverse aspirations of its electorate.

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