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As Donald Trump embarks on his second term as President of the United States, global financial markets are already responding to the anticipated policy shifts. On Tuesday morning, the Indian stock markets opened on a positive note, with both the Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex registering early gains amid expectations of aggressive executive action in the U.S.

The Nifty 50 index climbed 76.90 points or 0.33%, opening at 23,421.65, while the BSE Sensex surged 188.28 points or 0.24% to start the day at 77,261.72.

Markets React to Trump’s Bold Start

The optimism in the market stems from the flurry of executive orders signed by Trump on his first day back in the Oval Office. Analysts believe the new administration’s focus on areas such as tariffs, immigration, tax cuts, deregulation, energy security, and the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) could have a significant impact on the global economy.

Ajay Bagga, a seasoned banking and market expert, explained the sentiment to ANI:

“Trump 2.0 is here. More experienced, more determined, and armed with a barrage of Day 1 executive orders. As the Trump Cabinet gets approved, many of these policies will translate into actionable measures on the ground.”

Bagga also highlighted the immediate market implications:

“US dollar, bond yields, global markets, and commodities are already adjusting to the Trump Impact. Indian markets are relieved, for now, that no universal tariffs have been announced.”

Sectoral Performance: Metal and PSU Banks Lead the Charge

All sectoral indices on the NSE opened in positive territory, with Nifty Metal and Nifty PSU Bank leading the gains, both up by 0.5%. Nifty IT also posted modest growth of 0.23%.

In the Nifty 50 list, 37 stocks opened in the green. Ultratech Cement, Apollo Hospitals, BPCL, and Wipro emerged as the top gainers, while Trent, Adani Enterprises, Kotak Bank, and NTPC were the leading losers.

Quarterly Earnings in Focus

As investors digest the Trump administration’s early moves, attention will also be on the Q3 earnings announcements for FY25. Key companies scheduled to release their results include UCO Bank, KEI Industries, Tata Technologies, Dalmia Bharat, PNB Housing Finance, Aditya Birla Real Estate, Indiamart Intermesh, and India Cements.

Global Market Trends

In other Asian markets, the Nikkei 225 surged by 1.16%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index jumped 1.72%. Taiwan’s Weighted Index also recorded gains of 0.51%. However, Singapore’s Straits Times and South Korea’s KOSPI indices faced minor declines of 0.14%.

What Lies Ahead?

As Trump’s policies take shape, market volatility is expected to remain high. Investors are keeping a close eye on announcements from the U.S. that could impact global trade and economic dynamics.

With optimism in Indian markets and cautious anticipation in global indices, the Trump 2.0 era has started with a noticeable impact on the financial world. Only time will reveal the true extent of these shifts

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The Indian stock market experienced a robust upswing on Thursday, as the benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty surged nearly 2%, buoyed by impressive gains in the Auto, IT, and Financial sectors. Investors celebrated as the Sensex climbed 1.8% to close at an impressive 79,943.71, while the Nifty rose 1.9%, ending at 24,188.65.

Auto Stocks Lead the Charge

The rally was spearheaded by Auto stocks, which surged on the back of robust December sales data and attractive year-end discounts. Industry leaders like Maruti Suzuki and Mahindra & Mahindra reported strong demand, particularly for SUVs, which bolstered investor confidence.

Satish Chandra Aluri of Lemonn Markets noted, “Markets extended gains on improving risk appetite fueled by Auto, IT, and Financials. Auto shares rallied after sales data allayed concerns over weakening demand, while IT benefited from positive revenue recovery expectations. Likely bargain hunting in quality stocks and anticipation of growth-oriented measures in the upcoming budget also boosted sentiment.”

IT and Financials Add Momentum

IT stocks advanced significantly, buoyed by optimistic brokerage reports ahead of Q3 earnings, while the Financial sector saw strong contributions due to encouraging deposit growth updates from banks.

Santosh Meena of Swastika Investmart highlighted, “The market had been oversold for days, but auto sales beating expectations provided a much-needed trigger. Nifty not only crossed the 200-DMA but also surpassed the 50-DMA and 20-DMA, signaling a potential bullish reversal.”

Mid-Caps and Small-Caps Underperform

Despite the strong rally in frontline indices, mid-cap and small-cap stocks underperformed, rising by only 1%. Market watchers believe this presents a unique opportunity for investors. VLA Ambala of Stock Market Today remarked, “This could be an ideal time to accumulate value stocks with strong order books.”

Technical Insights and Market Outlook

Technical analysts remain optimistic but cautious, suggesting the possibility of a pullback before the next leg of the rally. Aditya Gaggar of Progressive Shares explained, “The bulls dominated, helping Nifty break multiple resistance levels. While a pullback to test support at 24,000 is possible, the next leg of the rally could target 24,700-24,800.”

What Lies Ahead?

With the Q3 earnings season and the Union Budget on the horizon, experts stress that strong earnings delivery will be crucial to sustain this upward momentum. Investors are advised to keep a close watch on budget announcements and quarterly results for cues on market direction.

In Conclusion

Thursday’s rally marks a promising start for Indian markets as they head into 2025. With key sectors like Auto, IT, and Financials showing strength, the road ahead looks bright. However, prudence and a focus on quality investments will remain essential as the market navigates upcoming economic events.

As Dalal Street celebrates this bullish breakout, investors can look forward to an exciting and potentially rewarding year ahead.

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In a robust market response amid U.S. election anticipation, the Indian stock market saw an impressive rally, with both the Sensex and Nifty posting significant gains. By 10:07 am IST, the BSE Sensex had surged to 80,093.19, marking a rise of 616.56 points (0.78%) from the previous close. Similarly, the Nifty climbed to 24,410.15, advancing by 196.85 points (0.81%).

Key Market Movements

On the previous trading day, Sensex closed at a solid 79,476.63, a jump of 694.39 points (0.88%), while the Nifty concluded at 24,213.30, an increase of 217.95 points (0.91%). This upward momentum suggests strong optimism among investors, possibly fueled by expectations of U.S. election outcomes and their implications on the global economy.

Factors Boosting Market Sentiment

Indian investors are closely monitoring the U.S. elections, as shifts in American policy could influence market conditions worldwide. Recent data indicated an appetite for risk assets, with key sectors such as banking, technology, and consumer goods contributing to the positive trend on Sensex and Nifty. Traders and analysts seem encouraged by the steadiness in U.S. pre-election polls and potential outcomes that may support steady economic growth.

Sector Performances

India’s banking stocks led the charge, showing resilience and stability, while tech and consumer goods also posted gains. Additionally, investor confidence was buoyed by strong performances in global equities, setting a positive precedent. This rally suggests a bullish outlook, as market participants anticipate a more predictable economic climate post-election.

What’s Ahead?

While the immediate impact of U.S. elections is reflected in today’s trading, experts predict continued volatility. For Indian markets, potential U.S. policy changes could either bolster or weigh on trade, but for now, the prevailing sentiment is one of cautious optimism.

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The Indian stock market rallied impressively today, marking a sharp rebound after a series of lackluster sessions. Both the Sensex and Nifty 50 surged over 1%, bolstering market sentiment as investors geared up for the final trading week of October. The Sensex kicked off with a robust opening at 79,653.67, climbing 1.3% from the previous close of 79,402.29. Similarly, Nifty 50 saw a jump, crossing the 24,400 level with gains of over 1%. This uptrend comes on the heels of five straight sessions of declines and has been fueled by five key factors that investors should keep an eye on.

1. Positive Global Cues from Asian Markets

Asian markets set the tone with an optimistic outlook, particularly in Japan, where stocks soared following political developments. The yen hit a three-month low after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s coalition lost its parliamentary majority. This regional upswing has lent considerable support to Indian markets as well, contributing to a positive start to the week.

2. Short-Covering Rally

After days of market correction, the Indian market witnessed a robust short-covering rally today. Analysts attribute this turnaround to a pattern seen after significant market dips, where investors close out short positions, triggering a rally. The Nifty 50’s 2.58% dip last week, marking a fourth week of declines, created room for this resurgence. Additionally, stronger performance by large-cap stocks, particularly in banking, has driven today’s positive sentiment.

3. Sectoral Strength in Key Indices

Today, gains were seen across all sectoral indices, with PSU Bank, Metal, Auto, and Realty sectors leading the way. Banking stocks such as ICICI Bank, Bank of Baroda, and Punjab National Bank fueled this rally, with ICICI Bank’s Q2 earnings playing a major role in lifting investor confidence. Bank Nifty surged past the 51,400 mark, adding to the overall market momentum.

4. Technical Factors Indicating a Bounce

Nifty 50 tested its support level at 24,100 on Friday, managing to end on a bullish note with a strong wick on the downside, hinting at buyer activity. Breaking the resistance at 24,400 today, Nifty is in a promising position to further test 24,750. This week, the historical performance of the 44th trading week of the year indicates an 80% probability of gains, averaging a 1.4% increase. Analysts, however, caution that the Nifty will face significant resistance between 24,413 and 24,462.

5. Decline in Crude Oil Prices

A dramatic drop in crude oil prices by over 4% further bolstered market sentiment. After Israel’s recent strike on Iran did not impact oil or nuclear facilities, Brent crude dropped to $72.77 per barrel, and WTI fell to $68.56. This price dip benefits India, a major crude importer, by potentially easing inflationary pressures. Lower inflation could provide the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) room to maintain or even lower interest rates, which would support further economic growth.

Market Movers: Top Gainers and Losers

Today’s rally saw Shriram Finance, Mahindra & Mahindra, ICICI Bank, Adani Enterprises, and IndusInd Bank as top gainers on Nifty 50, while Coal India, Bharat Electronics, Tech Mahindra, SBI Life Insurance, and Axis Bank were among the few to close lower.

Looking Ahead

While today’s market rally is an encouraging sign, it’s essential to watch for potential resistance and economic developments globally. Investors are advised to keep an eye on crude prices, sectoral trends, and technical support levels as the week progresses.

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